THEME: "Frontiers in Oil, Gas, Petroleum Science and Engineering Research"
International University of Grand Bassam, Cote D Ivoire
Title: Modeling Standpipe Pressure Using Multivariable Regression Analysis by Combining Drilling Parameters and Herschel-Bulkley Model
Seydou Sinde
holds PhD, master’s, and bachelor’s degrees in petroleum engineering. From 2006
to 2016, he worked in the petroleum fields of the Middle East as Mud Logger,
Data Engineer, Pressure Engineer, Operations Supervisor & Field Support,
Training Chief Instructor in Petroservices-GmbH, Egypt Branch. Dr. Sinde joined
the International University of Grand-Bassam in September 2016 where he has
been teaching and supervising the following courses: Materials & Processes,
Applied Thermodynamics, Pre-Calculus, Quality Control Technology, Introduction
to Mechanics, Elements of Plant Design, Fluid Mechanics Applications,
Fundamentals of Biomechanics, Downhole Drilling Tools and Technology,
Fundamentals of Drilling Technology, Fundamentals of Offshore Systems,
Fundamentals of Pipeline Design, Auto Manufacturing Systems, Manufacturing
System Control, Industrial Work Measurement, Capstone & Internship.
The aims of this paper are to formulate
mathematical expressions that can be used to estimate the standpipe pressure
(SPP). The developed formulas consider the main factors that, directly or indirectly,
affect the behavior of SPP values. Fluid rheology and well hydraulics are some
of these essential factors. Mud Plastic viscosity, yield point, flow power,
consistency index, flow rate, drillstring and annular geometries are represented
by the frictional pressure (Pf) which is one of the input independent parameters
and is calculated, in this paper, using Herschel-Bulkley rheological model.
Other input independent parameters include the rate of penetration (ROP),
applied load or weight on the bit (WOB), bit revolutions per minute (RPM), bit
torque (TRQ) and hole inclination and direction coupled in the hole curvature
or dogleg (DL). The technique of repeating parameters and Buckingham PI theorem
are used to reduce the number of the input independent parameters into the
dimensionless revolutions per minute (RPMd), the dimensionless torque (TRQd)
and the dogleg which is already in the dimensionless form of radians.
Multivariable linear and polynomial regression technique using PTC Mathcad
Prime 4.0 is used to analyze and determine the exact relationships between the
dependent parameter which is SPP and the remaining three dimensionless groups.
Three models proved sufficiently satisfactory to estimate the standpipe
pressure: multivariable linear regression model 1 containing three regression
coefficients for vertical wells; multivariable linear regression model 2
containing four regression coefficients for deviated wells; and multivariable
polynomial quadratic regression model containing six regression coefficients
for both vertical and deviated wells. Although the linear regression model 2
(with four coefficients) is relatively more complex and contains an additional
term over the linear regression model 1 (with three coefficients), the former
did not really add significant improvements to the later except for some minor values.
Thus, the effect of the hole curvature or dogleg is insignificant and can be
omitted from the input independent parameters without significant losses of
accuracy. The polynomial quadratic regression model is considered the most
accurate model due to its relatively higher accuracy for most of the cases.
Data of nine wells from the Middle East were used to run the developed models
with satisfactory results provided by all of them even if the multivariable
polynomial quadratic regression model gave the best and most accurate results.
Development of these models is useful not only to monitor and predict, with accuracy,
the values of SPP, but also to early control and check for the integrity of the
well hydraulics as well as to take the corrective actions should any unexpected
problems appear such as pipe washouts, jet plugging, excessive mud losses,
fluid gains, kicks, etc.